Lake County Times

David P. Joyce won the Mentor-on-the-Lake City 4A precinct with 58.2 percent of the vote in the 2016 election, a margin of 143 votes.

In 2016, 67.4 percent of all registered voters in the precinct, 873 total voters, voted in the race for the district's representative in the U.S. House. David P. Joyce received 58.2 percent of the total vote in the precinct. Recent registration data shows there has been a 1.7 percent decrease in the number of registered voters with a total of 1,274 registered to vote. If the parties received the same percentage of the vote in 2020, David P. Joyce would win by a margin of 141 votes.

"I expect voter turnout to be exceptional, perhaps the highest in over a century, since 1908," said Michael McDonald, who directs the U.S. Elections Project. If those estimates are correct and the 65.7 percent participation rate remains the same, the voter turnout in the country would jump from 133 million up to 145 million people, according to the Brookings Institute.